While the Northeastern and eastern part of India is experiencing decent rainfall, many parts of the country are yet to welcome the monsoons in full swing. The progress of monsoon has stalled since June 19, leaving many states to remain rain deficient. As the scorching heat waves leave Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and central Indian states running for covers, the IMD has warned that the wait for the monsoon is going to be longer, at least till the second week of July.
The monsoon arrived two days late at the Kerala coast and covered most of the parts of the country except for Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan. The lack of favourable factors has put the monsoon on a ‘break’ due to the fact June 19. The monsoon activity began losing force and this will continue till mid-July. According to IMD Director-common Dr. Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, there can be some improvements in the progression of monsoons from July 7 bringing substantially-required respite from the heat with showers by the third and fourth week of July.
Mohapatra additional added that monsoon breaks are prevalent and there are records of them taking spot up to 10-12 days and unfavourable mid-latitude westerly winds and the absence of the formation of low-stress systems more than the north Bay of Bengal re affecting the progression of the monsoons, he stated.
He has also assured that that rainfall in July all more than India will be regular (94 to 106 % of Long Period Average). A forecast for the rainfall throughout the second half of the season will be issued towards the finish of July or the starting of August.
According to IMD every day report on July 1, prevailing meteorological circumstances, atmospheric features and forecast wind pattern indicate that no favourable situation created for the advancement of the southwest monsoon into the North and Northwestern states throughout the next 5 to 6 days. Subdued rainfall activity is most likely to continue more than the Central, Western and Northwestern components of Peninsular India. Heatwave circumstances will also last at these states for two more days.
On the other hand, widespread rainfall with isolated rainfall beneath the influence of powerful moist southwesterly winds is predicted more than Bihar, Sikkim, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Northeastern states in the next 5 days. Moderate to extreme thunderstorms accompanied by frequent cloud to ground lightning is most likely more than Bihar, east Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh on July 2
Meanwhile, the monsoon “break” can effect agriculture operations and energy specifications. Delhi reeled beneath loo-like circumstances for a third day on the trot and recorded a maximum temperature of 43.1 degrees Celsius on Thursday, slightly significantly less than the highest temperature recorded in July 2012 at 43.5 degrees Celsius. Delhi may get slight relief in the kind of thunderstorms and rain at isolated areas on Friday, IMD stated.