Assam Assembly Election 2021: Retaining energy in Assam does not seem to be as straightforward as the Bharatiya Janata Party may well have earlier believed. While an opinion poll in January this year had provided a clear majority to the BJP, there remains only a thin margin involving the NDA and the UPA, a more current opinion poll shows.
In January, the IANS C-Voter ‘Battle for the States’ survey had opined that the ruling BJP may well retain energy in Assam by winning 77 seats, nine down from 86 in 2016, in the 126-seat Assam Assembly. It had predicted a achieve of 14 seats for the Congress-led UPA providing it about 40 seats.
The ABP-C-Voter opinion poll which was created public in the final week of February predicted seats involving 68-76 for the NDA although it gave Congress about 43-51 seats.
However, the most current opinion poll by Times Now-C Voter has predicted only a thin margin involving the two parties. According to the opinion poll, the BJP may well get about 67 seats, just 3 more than the majority mark of 64, although Congress may well win 31 seats more than its 2016 tally of 26, growing its strength to 57, a tiny quick of the majority mark.
In the final two months, there seems to have been a dip of about 5 to 10 seats in the NDA’s anticipated tally although Congress appears set to give a neck and neck fight to the ruling alliance. Given the present situation and taking into consideration the opinion polls, a minor shift in vote share towards Congress may well stump the BJP on May 2.
While the ruling BJP has allied with the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL), Congress has forged an alliance with many parties – the AIUDF, CPI, CPI(M), CPI(ML), Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) and the Anchalik Gana Morcha (AGM) to place up an indomitable fight against the NDA. While the BJP is most likely to contest 92 seats, the AGP will have 26 and the UPPL to have 8 seats in its kitty.
Assam Assembly Elections will be held in 3 phases – 47 constituencies will go for polls in the 1st phase on March 27 a total of 39 constituencies will go to polls in the second phase on April 1, and the voters of 40 constituencies will have their final say in the third phase on April 6. The counting of votes will take location on May 2.